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Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipFri, 26 Dec 2025

Trefelin

LLWWL

Fri, 26 Dec 202515:00

3 : 0

Full time

Caerau (Ely)

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

46.2%Trefelin23.7%Draw30%Caerau (Ely)

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Trefelin

Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence46.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Trefelin 46.2%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Caerau (Ely) 30%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TrefelinCaerau (Ely)
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Trefelin2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 23 OctTrefelin0 – 2Flint Town UnitedL
  • 17 OctTrefelin4 – 1Llantwit MajorW
  • 9 OctCardiff MET1 – 3TrefelinW
  • 3 OctAirbus UK3 – 0TrefelinL
  • 26 SeptTrefelin1 – 3The New SaintsL
Caerau (Ely)7W 0D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctCaerau (Ely)0 – 2Llantwit MajorL
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFCW
  • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 2 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 0Afan LidoW
  • 26 SeptCardiff Draconians1 – 3Caerau (Ely)W
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals59.9% · 1.5740.1% · 2.35

Double chance

1X56.7%
X243.3%

Match result

Trefelin1.95
Draw3.8
Caerau (Ely)3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance56.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.3%
Odds1.7

Trefelin

Chance46.2%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds3.8

Caerau (Ely)

Chance30%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.3

TrefelinCaerau (Ely)
Recent form28%72%
Attack31%69%
Defence42%58%
Goals model31%69%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · FAW Championship

Trefelin scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FAW Championship

Trefelin conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · FAW Championship

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · FAW Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely): prediction & preview

Wales · FAW Championship · Fri, 26 Dec 2025

Trefelin meet Caerau (Ely) in the Wales, FAW Championship on 26 December 2025 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Trefelin at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) FAQs

4 questions

What time is Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely)?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 26 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely)?

Trefelin is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.