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Trofense vs Varzim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Trofense

LDLDL

Sat, 18 Apr 202619:00

0 : 1

Full time

Varzim

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

38%Trofense28.8%Draw33.1%Varzim

Our prediction

Home · Trofense

Trofense vs Varzim listed tip from the board.

Odds2.35
Confidence38%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Trofense 38%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Varzim 33.1%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TrofenseVarzim
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Trofense1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctParedes4 – 0TrofenseL
  • 11 OctFafe2 – 2TrofenseD
  • 12 SeptTrofense1 – 4LeçaL
  • 5 SeptGuimaraes B0 – 0TrofenseD
  • 29 AugVarzim5 – 1TrofenseL
Varzim5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctVarzim2 – 4Guimaraes BL
  • 11 OctSão João Ver2 – 1VarzimL
  • 19 SeptVitória de Sernache2 – 1VarzimL
  • 12 SeptVarzim1 – 2VianenseL
  • 5 SeptVarzim0 – 1ParedesL
H2H
Head to headTrofense 5W · 0D · Varzim 4W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 29 AugVarzim5 – 1Trofense
  • 9 AugTrofense0 – 1Varzim
  • 21 FebVarzim2 – 0Trofense
  • 20 DecVarzim0 – 1Trofense
  • 11 OctTrofense2 – 1Varzim
  • 30 AugTrofense5 – 1Varzim

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals41% · 2.359% · 1.6

Double chance

1X52.4%
X247.6%

Match result

Trofense2.35
Draw3.1
Varzim2.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

Trofense

Chance38%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Varzim

Chance33.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.35

TrofenseVarzim
Recent form29%71%
Attack25%75%
Defence33%67%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

Trofense scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Trofense conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Trofense vs Varzim: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Trofense meet Varzim in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 18 April 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Trofense at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Trofense vs Varzim FAQs

4 questions

What time is Trofense vs Varzim?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Trofense vs Varzim?

Trofense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.