Tropezón vs Castro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Tropezón

Sun, 11 Jan 202617:00

3 : 1

Full time

Castro

Pre-match win probability

60.5%Tropezón23.9%Draw15.6%Castro

Our prediction

Tropezón

Tropezón is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.48
Confidence60.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tropezón 60.5%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Castro 15.6%

Season statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · highlighted side is stronger

TropezónCastro

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals46.1% · 2.0553.9% · 1.75

Double chance

1X68.6%
X231.4%

Match result

Tropezón1.48
Draw3.75
Castro5.75

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance68.6%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance31.4%
Odds2.4

Tropezón

Chance60.5%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

Castro

Chance15.6%
Odds5.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tropezón at 1.48

TropezónCastro
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Tropezón vs Castro: prediction & preview

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Tropezón meet Castro in the Spain, Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 on 11 January 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tropezón at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tropezón vs Castro FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tropezón vs Castro?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tropezón vs Castro?

Tropezón is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Tropezón vs Castro prediction, H2H and stats