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Tukums II vs Smiltene Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · 1. LigaSun, 24 May 2026

Tukums II

11th in table · 19 pts

WWLDL

Sun, 24 May 202614:00

1 : 1

Full time

Smiltene

10th in table · 23 pts

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

58.4%Tukums II21.8%Draw19.8%Smiltene

Our prediction

Tukums II

Tukums II is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.53
Confidence58.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tukums II 58.4%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Smiltene 19.8%

Season statistics

1. Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Tukums IISmiltene
Goals scored (avg)
1.32.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.82.4
Wins
56
Played
2424

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tukums II2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 22 OctTukums II0 – 3Super Nova 2L
  • 18 OctValmiera / BSS2 – 2Tukums IID
  • 11 OctSmiltene3 – 2Tukums IIL
  • 26 SeptTukums II1 – 0JFK VentspilsW
  • 19 SeptTukums II3 – 1Rēzekne FAW
Smiltene5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctSkanste1 – 3SmilteneW
  • 17 OctSmiltene2 – 2Riga FC IID
  • 11 OctSmiltene3 – 2Tukums IIW
  • 19 SeptSuper Nova 20 – 2SmilteneW
  • 12 SeptSmiltene4 – 1Riga MarinersW
H2H
Head to headTukums II 5W · 0D · Smiltene 4W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 11 OctSmiltene3 – 2Tukums II
  • 5 OctSmiltene0 – 3Tukums II
  • 24 MayTukums II1 – 2Smiltene
  • 25 AugTukums II1 – 2Smiltene
  • 28 AprSmiltene0 – 2Tukums II
  • 16 SeptSmiltene0 – 3Tukums II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals66.3% · 1.433.7% · 2.75

Double chance

1X66.8%
X233.2%

Match result

Tukums II1.53
Draw4.1
Smiltene4.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance66.8%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance33.2%
Odds2.25

Tukums II

Chance58.4%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.1

Smiltene

Chance19.8%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tukums II at 1.53

Tukums IISmiltene
Recent form33%67%
Attack38%62%
Defence25%75%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall75%25%

Trends

Trend · 1. Liga

Tukums II scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 1. Liga

Tukums II conceded 2.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 1. Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · 1. Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Tukums II vs Smiltene: prediction & preview

Latvia · 1. Liga · Sun, 24 May 2026

Tukums II meet Smiltene in the Latvia, 1. Liga on 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tukums II at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tukums II vs Smiltene FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tukums II vs Smiltene?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 24 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tukums II vs Smiltene?

Tukums II is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.