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Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaTue, 21 Apr 2026

Tukums

9th in table · 25 pts

LDLLD

Tue, 21 Apr 202616:00

1 : 1

Full time

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table · 48 pts

LDWWW

Pre-match win probability

34.1%Tukums28.8%Draw37.2%BFC Daugavpils

Our prediction

BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tukums 34.1%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • BFC Daugavpils 37.2%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TukumsBFC Daugavpils
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.9
Wins
513
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tukums2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctFK Liepaja0 – 0TukumsD
  • 19 OctRīgas FS2 – 0TukumsL
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaL
  • 20 SeptTukums1 – 1GrobiņaD
  • 10 SeptSuper Nova1 – 0TukumsL
BFC Daugavpils4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctFS Jelgava0 – 1BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 OctBFC Daugavpils2 – 1AudaW
  • 11 OctOgre United1 – 2BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 19 SeptFK Liepaja0 – 0BFC DaugavpilsD
  • 13 SeptBFC Daugavpils1 – 2Rīgas FSL
H2H
Head to headTukums 1W · 3D · BFC Daugavpils 5W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 8 AugBFC Daugavpils2 – 0Tukums
  • 12 JunTukums1 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 30 AugTukums0 – 1BFC Daugavpils
  • 21 JunBFC Daugavpils1 – 2Tukums
  • 30 AprTukums0 – 0BFC Daugavpils
  • 7 MarBFC Daugavpils3 – 0Tukums

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.062.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Tukums2.62
Draw3.1
BFC Daugavpils2.4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Tukums

Chance34.1%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

BFC Daugavpils

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BFC Daugavpils at 2.4

TukumsBFC Daugavpils
Recent form33%67%
Attack33%67%
Defence38%62%
Goals model33%67%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Tukums scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Tukums conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Tue, 21 Apr 2026

Tukums meet BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia, Virsliga on 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is BFC Daugavpils at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?

BFC Daugavpils is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.