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Tukums vs Riga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Latvia · VirsligaWed, 20 May 2026

Tukums

9th in table · 25 pts

LDLLD

Wed, 20 May 202616:00

1 : 3

Full time

Riga

2nd in table · 82 pts

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

12.9%Tukums16.4%Draw70.6%Riga

Our prediction

Away · Tukums

Tukums vs Riga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence70.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tukums 12.9%
  • Draw 16.4%
  • Riga 70.6%

Season statistics

Virsliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TukumsRiga
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.9
Wins
525
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tukums2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctFK Liepaja0 – 0TukumsD
  • 19 OctRīgas FS2 – 0TukumsL
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaL
  • 20 SeptTukums1 – 1GrobiņaD
  • 10 SeptSuper Nova1 – 0TukumsL
Riga6W 4D 0L in last 10
  • 26 OctGrobiņa2 – 5RigaW
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaW
  • 15 OctRiga1 – 1Kairat AlmatyD
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaW
H2H
Head to headTukums 0W · 2D · Riga 7W · 3.8 goals a game
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2Riga
  • 18 JulRiga3 – 1Tukums
  • 9 AprRiga3 – 3Tukums
  • 24 OctRiga0 – 0Tukums
  • 3 AugTukums0 – 1Riga
  • 12 JulRiga4 – 0Tukums

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.5% · 21
1.5 goals27.3% · 1.125.6% · 5.5
2.5 goals21.2% · 1.4411.7% · 2.62
3.5 goals14.5% · 2.118.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X26.5%
X273.5%

Match result

Tukums7
Draw5.5
Riga1.28

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance26.5%
Odds3

X2

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

Tukums

Chance12.9%
Odds7

Draw

Chance16.4%
Odds5.5

Riga

Chance70.6%
Odds1.28

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.28

TukumsRiga
Recent form27%73%
Attack25%75%
Defence38%62%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head11%89%
Overall15%85%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Tukums scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Tukums conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Tukums vs Riga: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Wed, 20 May 2026

Tukums meet Riga in the Latvia, Virsliga on 20 May 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Tukums vs Riga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Tukums vs Riga?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 20 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Tukums vs Riga?

Riga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.