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Tusker vs Police Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Kenya · Shield CupSun, 14 Jun 2026

Tusker

DWWLD

Sun, 14 Jun 202613:00

2 : 1

Full time

Police

Pre-match win probability

27.1%Tusker34.1%Draw38.8%Police

Our prediction

Police

Police is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tusker 27.1%
  • Draw 34.1%
  • Police 38.8%

Season statistics

Shield Cup · 5 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TuskerPolice
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tusker2W 2D 1L in last 5
  • 25 OctSingida Black Stars1 – 1TuskerD
  • 18 OctTusker0 – 1Singida Black StarsL
  • 11 OctUlinzi Stars0 – 2TuskerW
  • 12 SeptTusker1 – 0Al Ahli Wad MedaniW
  • 6 SeptAl Ahli Wad Medani2 – 2TuskerD
Police0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headTusker 0W · 1D · Police 0W · 4 goals a game
    • 29 OctPolice2 – 2Tusker

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals35.5% · 2.6264.5% · 1.44

    Double chance

    1X46%
    X254%

    Match result

    Tusker3.3
    Draw2.62
    Police2.3

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance46%
    Odds1.5

    X2

    Chance54%
    Odds1.28

    Tusker

    Chance27.1%
    Odds3.3

    Draw

    Chance34.1%
    Odds2.62

    Police

    Chance38.8%
    Odds2.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Police at 2.3

    TuskerPolice
    Recent form89%11%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model55%45%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall41%59%

    Trends

    Trend · Shield Cup

    Tusker scored 1.2 per game in the last 5.

    Trend · Shield Cup

    Tusker conceded 0.8 per game in the last 5.

    Trend · Shield Cup

    Failed to score in 1 of those 5.

    Trend · Shield Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 5.

    Tusker vs Police: prediction & preview

    Kenya · Shield Cup · Sun, 14 Jun 2026

    Tusker meet Police in the Kenya, Shield Cup on 14 June 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Police at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Tusker vs Police FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Tusker vs Police?

    Kickoff is 13:00 on 14 June 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Tusker vs Police?

    Police is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.