UD Ourense vs Numancia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UD Ourense

Sun, 7 Dec 202517:00

0 : 3

Full time

Numancia

Pre-match win probability

29.7%UD Ourense30.7%Draw39.6%Numancia

Our prediction

Numancia

Numancia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • UD Ourense 29.7%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Numancia 39.6%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

UD OurenseNumancia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals35.5% · 2.6264.5% · 1.44

Double chance

1X45.9%
X254.1%

Match result

UD Ourense3
Draw2.9
Numancia2.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance45.9%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance54.1%
Odds1.3

UD Ourense

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Numancia

Chance39.6%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Numancia at 2.25

UD OurenseNumancia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall43%57%

UD Ourense vs Numancia: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

UD Ourense meet Numancia in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on 7 December 2025 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Numancia at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

UD Ourense vs Numancia FAQs

4 questions

What time is UD Ourense vs Numancia?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on UD Ourense vs Numancia?

Numancia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

UD Ourense vs Numancia prediction, H2H and stats