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UD Ourense vs Ponferradina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 29 Aug 2026

UD Ourense

Sat, 29 Aug 202616:00

0 : 1

Full time

Ponferradina

Pre-match win probability

36%UD Ourense28.1%Draw36%Ponferradina

Our prediction

UD Ourense

UD Ourense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • UD Ourense 36%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Ponferradina 36%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

UD OurensePonferradina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.2% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

UD Ourense2.5
Draw3.2
Ponferradina2.5

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

UD Ourense

Chance36%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

Ponferradina

Chance36%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: UD Ourense at 2.5

UD OurensePonferradina
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

UD Ourense vs Ponferradina: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

UD Ourense meet Ponferradina in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is UD Ourense at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

UD Ourense vs Ponferradina FAQs

4 questions

What time is UD Ourense vs Ponferradina?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on UD Ourense vs Ponferradina?

UD Ourense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

UD Ourense vs Ponferradina prediction, H2H and stats