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União de Leiria vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 15 Mar 2026

União de Leiria

WWWDL

Sun, 15 Mar 202615:00

1 : 2

Full time

Maritimo

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

32.6%União de Leiria28.5%Draw38.9%Maritimo

Our prediction

Draw · União de Leiria

União de Leiria vs Maritimo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence38.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União de Leiria 32.6%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Maritimo 38.9%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

União de LeiriaMaritimo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X47.6%
X252.4%

Match result

União de Leiria2.8
Draw3.2
Maritimo2.35

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

União de Leiria

Chance32.6%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.2

Maritimo

Chance38.9%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.2

União de LeiriaMaritimo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

União de Leiria vs Maritimo: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Mar 2026

União de Leiria meet Maritimo in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Maritimo at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União de Leiria vs Maritimo FAQs

4 questions

What time is União de Leiria vs Maritimo?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 15 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União de Leiria vs Maritimo?

Maritimo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

União de Leiria vs Maritimo prediction, H2H and stats