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União de Leiria vs Portimonense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 28 Feb 2026

União de Leiria

WDLDW

Sat, 28 Feb 202619:00

1 : 0

Full time

Portimonense

LLDDL

Pre-match win probability

52.2%União de Leiria26.1%Draw21.7%Portimonense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · União de Leiria

União de Leiria vs Portimonense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence52.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União de Leiria 52.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Portimonense 21.7%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

União de LeiriaPortimonense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

União de Leiria1.75
Draw3.5
Portimonense4.2

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

União de Leiria

Chance52.2%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.5

Portimonense

Chance21.7%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

União de LeiriaPortimonense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

União de Leiria vs Portimonense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

União de Leiria meet Portimonense in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 28 February 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is União de Leiria at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União de Leiria vs Portimonense FAQs

4 questions

What time is União de Leiria vs Portimonense?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União de Leiria vs Portimonense?

União de Leiria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

União de Leiria vs Portimonense prediction, H2H and stats