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União de Leiria vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaFri, 28 Aug 2026

União de Leiria

WLLLD

Fri, 28 Aug 202618:00

2 : 0

Full time

Tondela

LLWLD

Pre-match win probability

43.4%União de Leiria28.7%Draw27.8%Tondela

Our prediction

1X · União de Leiria

União de Leiria vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence43.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União de Leiria 43.4%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Tondela 27.8%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

União de LeiriaTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

União de Leiria2.05
Draw3.1
Tondela3.2

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

União de Leiria

Chance43.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.1

Tondela

Chance27.8%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.33

União de LeiriaTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

União de Leiria vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Fri, 28 Aug 2026

União de Leiria meet Tondela in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is União de Leiria at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União de Leiria vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is União de Leiria vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 28 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União de Leiria vs Tondela?

União de Leiria is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

União de Leiria vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats