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União Santarém vs Amarante Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 14 Mar 2026

União Santarém

7th in table · 10 pts

WWWLW

Sat, 14 Mar 202617:00

1 : 2

Full time

Amarante

1st in table · 31 pts

DWLLL

Pre-match win probability

38.6%União Santarém31.7%Draw29.7%Amarante

Our prediction

Away · União Santarém

União Santarém vs Amarante listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence38.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União Santarém 38.6%
  • Draw 31.7%
  • Amarante 29.7%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

União SantarémAmarante
Goals scored (avg)
1.51
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.4
Wins
29
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

União Santarém4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctUnião Santarém2 – 1Vitória de SernacheW
  • 14 OctUnião Santarém2 – 3GIL VicenteL
  • 9 OctUnião Santarém3 – 0Lusitano Évora 1911W
  • 20 SeptUnião Santarém5 – 0MerelinenseW
  • 12 SeptLouletano1 – 2União SantarémW
Amarante2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 26 OctTorreense1 – 0AmaranteL
  • 17 OctAcademica3 – 2AmaranteL
  • 10 OctAmarante1 – 2PortimonenseL
  • 20 SeptPonte da Barca0 – 2AmaranteW
  • 13 SeptAmarante2 – 2União de LeiriaD
H2H
Head to headUnião Santarém 0W · 0D · Amarante 2W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 10 MayAmarante1 – 0União Santarém
  • 21 SeptAmarante2 – 0União Santarém

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals31.2% · 368.8% · 1.36

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

União Santarém2.38
Draw2.9
Amarante3.1

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

União Santarém

Chance38.6%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance31.7%
Odds2.9

Amarante

Chance29.7%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.1

União SantarémAmarante
Recent form64%36%
Attack60%40%
Defence50%50%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

União Santarém scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

União Santarém conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

União Santarém vs Amarante: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

União Santarém meet Amarante in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 14 March 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is União Santarém at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 68.8% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União Santarém vs Amarante FAQs

4 questions

What time is União Santarém vs Amarante?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União Santarém vs Amarante?

União Santarém is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.