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União Santarém vs GIL Vicente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalWed, 14 Oct 2026

União Santarém

Wed, 14 Oct 202619:00

2 : 3

Full time

GIL Vicente

Pre-match win probability

12.9%União Santarém21.9%Draw65.2%GIL Vicente

Our prediction

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence65.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União Santarém 12.9%
  • Draw 21.9%
  • GIL Vicente 65.2%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

União SantarémGIL Vicente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X28.2%
X271.8%

Match result

União Santarém7
Draw4.1
GIL Vicente1.38

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

União Santarém

Chance12.9%
Odds7

Draw

Chance21.9%
Odds4.1

GIL Vicente

Chance65.2%
Odds1.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GIL Vicente at 1.38

União SantarémGIL Vicente
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall17%83%

União Santarém vs GIL Vicente: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

União Santarém meet GIL Vicente in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 14 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is GIL Vicente at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União Santarém vs GIL Vicente FAQs

4 questions

What time is União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?

GIL Vicente is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

União Santarém vs GIL Vicente prediction, H2H and stats