União Santarém vs Mafra Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 26 Oct 2025

União Santarém

Sun, 26 Oct 202516:00

1 : 2

Full time

Mafra

Pre-match win probability

32.3%União Santarém31.1%Draw36.6%Mafra

Our prediction

Mafra

Mafra is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.46
Confidence36.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União Santarém 32.3%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Mafra 36.6%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

União SantarémMafra

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.073.4% · 6.8
1.5 goals16.5% · 1.398.8% · 2.59
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3414.9% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.420.1% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes47.3%
No52.7%

Double chance

1X48.4%
X251.6%

Match result

União Santarém2.79
Draw2.9
Mafra2.46

Both teams to score

Yes47.3% · 1.95
No52.7% · 1.75

1X

Chance48.4%
Odds1.43

X2

Chance51.6%
Odds1.34

União Santarém

Chance32.3%
Odds2.79

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.9

Mafra

Chance36.6%
Odds2.46

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Mafra at 2.46

União SantarémMafra
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

União Santarém vs Mafra: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 26 Oct 2025

União Santarém meet Mafra in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 26 October 2025 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Mafra at 2.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União Santarém vs Mafra FAQs

4 questions

What time is União Santarém vs Mafra?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 26 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União Santarém vs Mafra?

Mafra is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.34 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

União Santarém vs Mafra prediction, H2H and stats