União São João vs Comercial Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

União São João

Sat, 8 Aug 202621:00

1 : 1

Full time

Comercial

Pre-match win probability

45.5%União São João30.6%Draw24%Comercial

Our prediction

União São João

União São João is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • União São João 45.5%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Comercial 24%

Season statistics

Copa Paulista · highlighted side is stronger

União São JoãoComercial

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals40.1% · 2.3559.9% · 1.57

Double chance

1X54.8%
X245.2%

Match result

União São João1.95
Draw2.9
Comercial3.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.8%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance45.2%
Odds1.55

União São João

Chance45.5%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds2.9

Comercial

Chance24%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: União São João at 1.95

União São JoãoComercial
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

União São João vs Comercial: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Paulista · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

União São João meet Comercial in the Brazil, Copa Paulista on 8 August 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is União São João at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

União São João vs Comercial FAQs

4 questions

What time is União São João vs Comercial?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on União São João vs Comercial?

União São João is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

União São João vs Comercial prediction, H2H and stats