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Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSun, 5 Apr 2026

Union Berlin

LWLLW

Sun, 5 Apr 202614:30

1 : 1

Full time

FC St. Pauli

LLDWW

Pre-match win probability

42.3%Union Berlin29.7%Draw28%FC St. Pauli

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Union Berlin

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union Berlin 42.3%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • FC St. Pauli 28%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

Union BerlinFC St. Pauli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.8% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Union Berlin2.25
Draw3.2
FC St. Pauli3.4

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Union Berlin

Chance42.3%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

FC St. Pauli

Chance28%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

Union BerlinFC St. Pauli
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Union Berlin meet FC St. Pauli in the Germany, Bundesliga on 5 April 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union Berlin at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli?

Union Berlin is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli prediction, H2H and stats