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Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Copa ArgentinaSat, 23 May 2026

Union Santa Fe

Sat, 23 May 202600:00

0 : 2

Full time

Independiente

Pre-match win probability

40.8%Union Santa Fe32.4%Draw26.8%Independiente

Our prediction

Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence40.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union Santa Fe 40.8%
  • Draw 32.4%
  • Independiente 26.8%

Season statistics

Copa Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

Union Santa FeIndependiente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X51.4%
X248.6%

Match result

Union Santa Fe2.3
Draw2.9
Independiente3.5

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance51.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance48.6%
Odds1.44

Union Santa Fe

Chance40.8%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

Independiente

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Union Santa Fe at 2.3

Union Santa FeIndependiente
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente: prediction & preview

Argentina · Copa Argentina · Sat, 23 May 2026

Union Santa Fe meet Independiente in the Argentina, Copa Argentina on 23 May 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union Santa Fe at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

Union Santa Fe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente prediction, H2H and stats