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Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaSat, 19 Sept 2026

Union Santa Fe

LWWWL

Sat, 19 Sept 202620:45

1 : 2

Full time

Independiente

DWLDW

Pre-match win probability

37%Union Santa Fe32.5%Draw30.4%Independiente

Our prediction

Draw · Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente listed tip from the board.

Odds2.9
Confidence37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union Santa Fe 37%
  • Draw 32.5%
  • Independiente 30.4%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · highlighted side is stronger

Union Santa FeIndependiente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X52.4%
X247.6%

Match result

Union Santa Fe2.55
Draw2.9
Independiente3.1

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

Union Santa Fe

Chance37%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance32.5%
Odds2.9

Independiente

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 2.9

Union Santa FeIndependiente
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall55%45%

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Union Santa Fe meet Independiente in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 19 September 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union Santa Fe at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

Union Santa Fe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente prediction, H2H and stats