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Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Belgium · CupWed, 11 Feb 2026

Union St. Gilloise

Wed, 11 Feb 202620:30

4 : 1

Full time

Charleroi

Pre-match win probability

62.2%Union St. Gilloise22.2%Draw15.6%Charleroi

Our prediction

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union St. Gilloise 62.2%
  • Draw 22.2%
  • Charleroi 15.6%

Season statistics

Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Union St. GilloiseCharleroi

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X69.1%
X230.9%

Match result

Union St. Gilloise1.5
Draw4.2
Charleroi6

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance69.1%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance30.9%
Odds2.5

Union St. Gilloise

Chance62.2%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance22.2%
Odds4.2

Charleroi

Chance15.6%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Union St. Gilloise at 1.5

Union St. GilloiseCharleroi
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi: prediction & preview

Belgium · Cup · Wed, 11 Feb 2026

Union St. Gilloise meet Charleroi in the Belgium, Cup on 11 February 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union St. Gilloise at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 11 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi?

Union St. Gilloise is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi prediction, H2H and stats