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Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 15 Oct 2026

Union St. Gilloise

Thu, 15 Oct 202617:45

1 : 1

Full time

Real Sociedad

Pre-match win probability

36.7%Union St. Gilloise26.5%Draw36.7%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.6
Confidence36.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union St. Gilloise 36.7%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Real Sociedad 36.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Union St. Gilloise2.6
Draw3.6
Real Sociedad2.6

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Union St. Gilloise

Chance36.7%
Odds2.6

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

Real Sociedad

Chance36.7%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Union St. Gilloise at 2.6

Union St. GilloiseReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Union St. Gilloise meet Real Sociedad in the World, UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Union St. Gilloise at 2.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad?

Union St. Gilloise is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats