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Universitario vs Alianza Lima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónSun, 5 Apr 2026

Universitario

DWLWD

Sun, 5 Apr 202602:00

1 : 0

Full time

Alianza Lima

WDWWW

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Universitario29.6%Draw25.5%Alianza Lima

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Universitario

Universitario vs Alianza Lima listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Universitario 44.8%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Alianza Lima 25.5%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

UniversitarioAlianza Lima

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Universitario2.05
Draw3.1
Alianza Lima3.6

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Universitario

Chance44.8%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.1

Alianza Lima

Chance25.5%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

UniversitarioAlianza Lima
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Universitario vs Alianza Lima: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Universitario meet Alianza Lima in the Peru, Primera División on 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Universitario at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Universitario vs Alianza Lima FAQs

4 questions

What time is Universitario vs Alianza Lima?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Universitario vs Alianza Lima?

Universitario is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Universitario vs Alianza Lima prediction, H2H and stats