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UPDF vs URA Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uganda · Premier LeagueTue, 27 Oct 2026

UPDF

11th in table · 8 pts

LDWWL

Tue, 27 Oct 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

URA

14th in table · 7 pts

Pre-match win probability

30.9%UPDF29.6%Draw39.5%URA

Our prediction

URA

URA is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • UPDF 30.9%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • URA 39.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

UPDFURA
Goals scored (avg)
0.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.9–
Wins
22
Played
77

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

UPDF2W 3D 3L in last 8
  • 18 OctUPDF0 – 2BULL
  • 15 OctExpress1 – 2UPDFW
  • 17 SeptUPDF1 – 0MaroonsW
  • 10 SeptPolice0 – 0UPDFD
  • 1 SeptEntebbe UPPC2 – 1UPDFL
URA0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headUPDF 0W · 5D · URA 4W · 1.6 goals a game
    • 24 AprUPDF0 – 0URA
    • 29 OctURA3 – 2UPDF
    • 7 MarURA2 – 1UPDF
    • 24 OctUPDF0 – 0URA
    • 6 FebURA1 – 0UPDF
    • 17 SeptUPDF0 – 0URA

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals37.5% · 2.562.5% · 1.5

    Double chance

    1X46.5%
    X253.5%

    Match result

    UPDF2.88
    Draw3
    URA2.25

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance46.5%
    Odds1.53

    X2

    Chance53.5%
    Odds1.33

    UPDF

    Chance30.9%
    Odds2.88

    Draw

    Chance29.6%
    Odds3

    URA

    Chance39.5%
    Odds2.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: URA at 2.25

    UPDFURA
    Recent form90%10%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence68%32%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall44%56%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier League

    UPDF scored 0.6 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Premier League

    UPDF conceded 0.9 per game in the last 8.

    Trend · Premier League

    Failed to score in 4 of those 8.

    Trend · Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 8.

    UPDF vs URA: prediction & preview

    Uganda · Premier League · Tue, 27 Oct 2026

    UPDF meet URA in the Uganda, Premier League on 27 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is URA at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    UPDF vs URA FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is UPDF vs URA?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 27 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on UPDF vs URA?

    URA is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.