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USA vs Belgium Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupTue, 7 Jul 2026

USA

WWWWW

Tue, 7 Jul 202601:00

1 : 4

Full time

Belgium

LWLWL

Pre-match win probability

37.8%USA27.8%Draw34.4%Belgium

Our prediction

USA

USA is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence37.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • USA 37.8%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Belgium 34.4%

Season statistics

World Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

USABelgium
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

USA7W 0D 2L in last 9
  • 7 OctUSA1 – 0CanadaW
  • 4 OctUSA3 – 0MexicoW
  • 30 SeptUSA4 – 2ChileW
  • 26 SeptUSA4 – 1PeruW
  • 2 JulUSA2 – 0Bosnia & HerzegovinaW
Belgium4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 5 OctFrance4 – 1BelgiumL
  • 2 OctBelgium3 – 0TürkiyeW
  • 28 SeptBelgium0 – 1FranceL
  • 25 SeptItaly0 – 2BelgiumW
  • 10 JulSpain2 – 1BelgiumL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X52.2%
X247.8%

Match result

USA2.5
Draw3.4
Belgium2.75

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance52.2%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.8%
Odds1.53

USA

Chance37.8%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Belgium

Chance34.4%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: USA at 2.5

USABelgium
Recent form60%40%
Attack59%41%
Defence53%47%
Goals model59%41%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · World Cup

USA scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · World Cup

USA conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · World Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Trend · World Cup

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

USA vs Belgium: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Tue, 7 Jul 2026

USA meet Belgium in the World, World Cup on 7 July 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is USA at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

USA vs Belgium FAQs

4 questions

What time is USA vs Belgium?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 7 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on USA vs Belgium?

USA is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.