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USA vs Ecuador Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesSat, 11 Oct 2025

USA

Sat, 11 Oct 202501:30

vs

Not started

Ecuador

Pre-match win probability

38%USA30.2%Draw31.8%Ecuador

Our prediction

USA

USA is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.58
Confidence38%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • USA 38%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Ecuador 31.8%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

USAEcuador

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.043.4% · 6.8
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.388.8% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.7% · 2.3713.8% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.8% · 3.9619.7% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X52.3%
X247.7%

Match result

USA2.58
Draw3.25
Ecuador3.08

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance52.3%
Odds1.43

X2

Chance47.7%
Odds1.57

USA

Chance38%
Odds2.58

Draw

Chance30.2%
Odds3.25

Ecuador

Chance31.8%
Odds3.08

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: USA at 2.58

USAEcuador
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

USA vs Ecuador: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Sat, 11 Oct 2025

USA meet Ecuador in the World, Friendlies on 11 October 2025 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is USA at 2.58. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

USA vs Ecuador FAQs

4 questions

What time is USA vs Ecuador?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 11 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on USA vs Ecuador?

USA is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.58. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.37 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

USA vs Ecuador prediction, H2H and stats