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USA W vs Japan W Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies WomenWed, 15 Apr 2026

USA W

LLWLD

Wed, 15 Apr 202603:00

0 : 1

Full time

Japan W

WWDWL

Pre-match win probability

49.6%USA W26.3%Draw24.1%Japan W

Our prediction

USA W

USA W is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • USA W 49.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Japan W 24.1%

Season statistics

Friendlies Women · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

USA WJapan W
Goals scored (avg)
13.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

USA W4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 14 OctUSA W2 – 2Spain WD
  • 10 OctUSA W0 – 2Spain WL
  • 10 JunBrazil W0 – 1USA WW
  • 6 JunBrazil W2 – 1USA WL
  • 15 AprUSA W0 – 1Japan WL
Japan W7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 13 OctGermany W2 – 1Japan WL
  • 9 OctHaiti W1 – 5Japan WW
  • 2 OctKorea DPR W2 – 2Japan WD
  • 29 SeptJapan W2 – 0South Korea WW
  • 25 SeptJapan W4 – 0Philippines WW
H2H
Head to headUSA W 6W · 0D · Japan W 3W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 15 AprUSA W0 – 1Japan W
  • 15 AprUSA W0 – 1Japan W
  • 11 AprUSA W2 – 1Japan W
  • 11 AprUSA W2 – 1Japan W
  • 27 FebUSA W1 – 2Japan W
  • 3 AugUSA W1 – 0Japan W

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.8% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.7% · 1.8512% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

USA W1.8
Draw3.4
Japan W3.7

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

USA W

Chance49.6%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

Japan W

Chance24.1%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: USA W at 1.8

USA WJapan W
Recent form37%63%
Attack20%80%
Defence44%56%
Goals model20%80%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Friendlies Women

USA W scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Friendlies Women

USA W conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Friendlies Women

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Friendlies Women

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

USA W vs Japan W: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Women · Wed, 15 Apr 2026

USA W meet Japan W in the World, Friendlies Women on 15 April 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is USA W at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

USA W vs Japan W FAQs

4 questions

What time is USA W vs Japan W?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 15 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on USA W vs Japan W?

USA W is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

USA W vs Japan W prediction, H2H and stats