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Utebo vs Alfaro Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Utebo

LDDLD

Sun, 15 Feb 202617:00

4 : 1

Full time

Alfaro

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

61.5%Utebo22.3%Draw16.2%Alfaro

Our prediction

Home · Utebo

Utebo vs Alfaro listed tip from the board.

Odds1.45
Confidence61.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Utebo 61.5%
  • Draw 22.3%
  • Alfaro 16.2%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

UteboAlfaro
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Utebo1W 5D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctUtebo1 – 1UD Logroñés IID
  • 17 OctBarcelona B2 – 1UteboL
  • 10 OctUtebo0 – 0ArnedoD
  • 4 OctBarbastro1 – 1UteboD
  • 27 SeptUtebo0 – 1ReddisL
Alfaro5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctVarea1 – 0AlfaroL
  • 18 OctAlfaro1 – 0VianésW
  • 11 OctCasalarreina0 – 1AlfaroW
  • 4 OctAlfaro2 – 1CalahorraW
  • 27 SeptAnguiano1 – 2AlfaroW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals50% · 1.950% · 1.9

Double chance

1X68.6%
X231.4%

Match result

Utebo1.45
Draw4
Alfaro5.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance68.6%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance31.4%
Odds2.4

Utebo

Chance61.5%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance22.3%
Odds4

Alfaro

Chance16.2%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.45

UteboAlfaro
Recent form33%67%
Attack42%58%
Defence49%51%
Goals model42%58%
Overall79%21%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Utebo scored 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Utebo conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Utebo vs Alfaro: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Utebo meet Alfaro in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Utebo at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Utebo vs Alfaro FAQs

4 questions

What time is Utebo vs Alfaro?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Utebo vs Alfaro?

Utebo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.