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V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueSat, 19 Sept 2026

V-varen Nagasaki

WLDLL

Sat, 19 Sept 202610:30

1 : 1

Full time

Cerezo Osaka

WLDDW

Pre-match win probability

28.5%V-varen Nagasaki27.7%Draw43.8%Cerezo Osaka

Our prediction

Away or Draw · V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence43.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • V-varen Nagasaki 28.5%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Cerezo Osaka 43.8%

Season statistics

J1 League · highlighted side is stronger

V-varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
Goals scored (avg)
–1.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

V-varen Nagasaki0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Cerezo Osaka4W 3D 2L in last 9
    • 28 OctMito Hollyhock1 – 3Cerezo OsakaW
    • 25 OctCerezo Osaka2 – 2JEF United ChibaD
    • 21 OctNagoya Grampus1 – 1Cerezo OsakaD
    • 17 OctCerezo Osaka2 – 4Kawasaki FrontaleL
    • 14 OctGainare Tottori2 – 3Cerezo OsakaW
    H2H
    Head to headV-varen Nagasaki 3W · 0D · Cerezo Osaka 5W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 9 MayCerezo Osaka3 – 2V-varen Nagasaki
    • 28 FebV-varen Nagasaki1 – 0Cerezo Osaka
    • 19 AugV-varen Nagasaki0 – 2Cerezo Osaka
    • 5 MayCerezo Osaka3 – 1V-varen Nagasaki
    • 11 SeptCerezo Osaka2 – 0V-varen Nagasaki
    • 8 JunV-varen Nagasaki1 – 2Cerezo Osaka

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
    1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
    2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
    3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X41.6%
    X258.4%

    Match result

    V-varen Nagasaki3.3
    Draw3.4
    Cerezo Osaka2.15

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance41.6%
    Odds1.8

    X2

    Chance58.4%
    Odds1.28

    V-varen Nagasaki

    Chance28.5%
    Odds3.3

    Draw

    Chance27.7%
    Odds3.4

    Cerezo Osaka

    Chance43.8%
    Odds2.15

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.28

    V-varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack36%64%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model36%64%
    Head-to-head38%62%
    Overall39%61%

    Trends

    Trend · J1 League

    Cerezo Osaka scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · J1 League

    Cerezo Osaka conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · J1 League

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · J1 League

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction & preview

    Japan · J1 League · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

    V-varen Nagasaki meet Cerezo Osaka in the Japan, J1 League on 19 September 2026 at 10:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cerezo Osaka at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

    Kickoff is 10:30 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

    Cerezo Osaka is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka prediction, H2H and stats