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Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaThu, 14 May 2026

Valencia

Thu, 14 May 202618:00

1 : 1

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

Pre-match win probability

42.1%Valencia31.6%Draw26.3%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Valencia

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Valencia 42.1%
  • Draw 31.6%
  • Rayo Vallecano 26.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

ValenciaRayo Vallecano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Valencia2.25
Draw3
Rayo Vallecano3.6

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Valencia

Chance42.1%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance31.6%
Odds3

Rayo Vallecano

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 2.25

ValenciaRayo Vallecano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Thu, 14 May 2026

Valencia meet Rayo Vallecano in the Spain, La Liga on 14 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Valencia at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 14 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Valencia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, H2H and stats