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Valenciennes vs Caen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 3Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Valenciennes

DLWLL

Sat, 28 Feb 202615:00

2 : 1

Full time

Caen

LDWLD

Pre-match win probability

40.5%Valenciennes28.8%Draw30.7%Caen

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Valenciennes

Valenciennes vs Caen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Valenciennes 40.5%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Caen 30.7%

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · highlighted side is stronger

ValenciennesCaen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X54.7%
X245.3%

Match result

Valenciennes2.2
Draw3.1
Caen2.9

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance54.7%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.3%
Odds1.57

Valenciennes

Chance40.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Caen

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.57

ValenciennesCaen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Valenciennes vs Caen: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Valenciennes meet Caen in the France, Ligue 3 on 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Valenciennes at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Valenciennes vs Caen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Valenciennes vs Caen?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Valenciennes vs Caen?

Valenciennes is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Valenciennes vs Caen prediction, H2H and stats