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Valladolid vs Burgos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 28 Mar 2026

Valladolid

LWDWD

Sat, 28 Mar 202616:15

0 : 1

Full time

Burgos

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

42.1%Valladolid29.9%Draw28.1%Burgos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Valladolid

Valladolid vs Burgos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Valladolid 42.1%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Burgos 28.1%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

ValladolidBurgos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Valladolid2.2
Draw3.1
Burgos3.3

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Valladolid

Chance42.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

Burgos

Chance28.1%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

ValladolidBurgos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Valladolid vs Burgos: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 28 Mar 2026

Valladolid meet Burgos in the Spain, Segunda División on 28 March 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Valladolid at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Valladolid vs Burgos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Valladolid vs Burgos?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 28 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Valladolid vs Burgos?

Valladolid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Valladolid vs Burgos prediction, H2H and stats