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Varea vs Yagüe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Varea

WDWWW

Sun, 15 Feb 202612:00

1 : 1

Full time

Yagüe

Pre-match win probability

68%Varea18.1%Draw13.9%Yagüe

Our prediction

Varea

Varea is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.33
Confidence68%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Varea 68%
  • Draw 18.1%
  • Yagüe 13.9%

Season statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VareaYagüe
Goals scored (avg)
0.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Varea4W 5D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctVarea1 – 0AlfaroW
  • 18 OctCalasancio0 – 1VareaW
  • 11 OctVarea1 – 0AgoncilloW
  • 4 OctOyonesa1 – 1VareaD
  • 27 SeptVarea1 – 0La CalzadaW
Yagüe0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals57.1% · 1.6542.9% · 2.2

    Double chance

    1X72.9%
    X227.1%

    Match result

    Varea1.33
    Draw5
    Yagüe6.5

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance72.9%
    Odds1.07

    X2

    Chance27.1%
    Odds2.88

    Varea

    Chance68%
    Odds1.33

    Draw

    Chance18.1%
    Odds5

    Yagüe

    Chance13.9%
    Odds6.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Varea at 1.33

    VareaYagüe
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack41%59%
    Defence71%29%
    Goals model41%59%
    Overall83%17%

    Trends

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

    Varea scored 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

    Varea conceded 0.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

    Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

    Varea vs Yagüe: prediction & preview

    Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

    Varea meet Yagüe in the Spain, Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 on 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Varea at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Varea vs Yagüe FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Varea vs Yagüe?

    Kickoff is 12:00 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Varea vs Yagüe?

    Varea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 68%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.