Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Vasco DA Gama

DDLDW

Wed, 15 Apr 202601:00

1 : 2

Full time

A. Italiano

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

68.4%Vasco DA Gama19.9%Draw11.8%A. Italiano

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence68.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vasco DA Gama 68.4%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • A. Italiano 11.8%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · highlighted side is stronger

Vasco DA GamaA. Italiano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X73.5%
X226.5%

Match result

Vasco DA Gama1.38
Draw4.75
A. Italiano8

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance26.5%
Odds3

Vasco DA Gama

Chance68.4%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

A. Italiano

Chance11.8%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 3

Vasco DA GamaA. Italiano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall85%15%

Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 15 Apr 2026

Vasco DA Gama meet A. Italiano in the World, CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 15 April 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 15 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano?

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano prediction, H2H and stats