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Vasco DA Gama vs CFRJ / Maricá Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Carioca - 1Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Vasco DA Gama

Fri, 16 Jan 202601:30

4 : 2

Full time

CFRJ / Maricá

Pre-match win probability

68.1%Vasco DA Gama20.9%Draw11.1%CFRJ / Maricá

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence68.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vasco DA Gama 68.1%
  • Draw 20.9%
  • CFRJ / Maricá 11.1%

Season statistics

Carioca - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Vasco DA GamaCFRJ / Maricá

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X71.8%
X228.2%

Match result

Vasco DA Gama1.38
Draw4.5
CFRJ / Maricá8.5

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance71.8%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance28.2%
Odds2.75

Vasco DA Gama

Chance68.1%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance20.9%
Odds4.5

CFRJ / Maricá

Chance11.1%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Vasco DA Gama at 1.38

Vasco DA GamaCFRJ / Maricá
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Vasco DA Gama vs CFRJ / Maricá: prediction & preview

Brazil · Carioca - 1 · Fri, 16 Jan 2026

Vasco DA Gama meet CFRJ / Maricá in the Brazil, Carioca - 1 on 16 January 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vasco DA Gama vs CFRJ / Maricá FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs CFRJ / Maricá?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 16 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vasco DA Gama vs CFRJ / Maricá?

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Vasco DA Gama vs CFRJ / Maricá prediction, H2H and stats