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Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 18 Apr 2026

Vasco DA Gama

DWLLW

Sat, 18 Apr 202622:30

2 : 1

Full time

Sao Paulo

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Vasco DA Gama29%Draw29%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vasco DA Gama 41.9%
  • Draw 29%
  • Sao Paulo 29%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vasco DA GamaSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.8–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vasco DA Gama6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansW
  • 21 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 3Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 14 OctBoca Juniors0 – 1Vasco DA GamaW
  • 10 OctVasco DA Gama0 – 0RemoD
Sao Paulo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
    1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
    2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.2% · 1.67
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48%
    No52%

    Double chance

    1X54.9%
    X245.1%

    Match result

    Vasco DA Gama2.25
    Draw3.25
    Sao Paulo3.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48% · 1.95
    No52% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance54.9%
    Odds1.33

    X2

    Chance45.1%
    Odds1.62

    Vasco DA Gama

    Chance41.9%
    Odds2.25

    Draw

    Chance29%
    Odds3.25

    Sao Paulo

    Chance29%
    Odds3.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Vasco DA Gama at 2.25

    Vasco DA GamaSao Paulo
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence69%31%
    Goals model62%38%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Vasco DA Gama scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Vasco DA Gama conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

    Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

    Vasco DA Gama meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 18 April 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?

    Kickoff is 22:30 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo?

    Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.