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Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Sarmiento Res. Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Reserve LeagueWed, 6 May 2026

Vélez Sársfield Res.

1st in table · 47 pts

WDWWD

Wed, 6 May 202617:30

4 : 0

Full time

Sarmiento Res.

31st in table · 16 pts

LLDDW

Pre-match win probability

65.5%Vélez Sársfield Res.21.5%Draw12.9%Sarmiento Res.

Our prediction

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Vélez Sársfield Res. is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence65.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vélez Sársfield Res. 65.5%
  • Draw 21.5%
  • Sarmiento Res. 12.9%

Season statistics

Reserve League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Vélez Sársfield Res.Sarmiento Res.
Goals scored (avg)
1.50.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.30.9
Wins
154
Played
2018

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vélez Sársfield Res.5W 5D 0L in last 10
  • 21 OctRiver Plate Res.1 – 1Vélez Sársfield Res.D
  • 15 OctVélez Sársfield Res.4 – 0Racing Club Res.W
  • 8 OctSarmiento Res.0 – 1Vélez Sársfield Res.W
  • 1 OctVélez Sársfield Res.1 – 1Argentinos Juniors Res.D
  • 22 SeptVélez Sársfield Res.4 – 0Ferro 2W
Sarmiento Res.2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 27 OctRosario Central Res.0 – 1Sarmiento Res.W
  • 20 OctSarmiento Res.1 – 1Tigre Res.D
  • 15 OctSan Lorenzo Res.1 – 1Sarmiento Res.D
  • 8 OctSarmiento Res.0 – 1Vélez Sársfield Res.L
  • 1 OctRiver Plate Res.1 – 0Sarmiento Res.L
H2H
Head to headVélez Sársfield Res. 5W · 0D · Sarmiento Res. 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 8 OctSarmiento Res.0 – 1Vélez Sársfield Res.
  • 8 OctSarmiento Res.0 – 1Vélez Sársfield Res.
  • 6 MayVélez Sársfield Res.2 – 0Sarmiento Res.
  • 16 JulVélez Sársfield Res.3 – 1Sarmiento Res.
  • 20 AugSarmiento Res.0 – 2Vélez Sársfield Res.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

Double chance

1X72.2%
X227.8%

Match result

Vélez Sársfield Res.1.38
Draw4.2
Sarmiento Res.7

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance72.2%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance27.8%
Odds2.75

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Chance65.5%
Odds1.38

Draw

Chance21.5%
Odds4.2

Sarmiento Res.

Chance12.9%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Vélez Sársfield Res. at 1.38

Vélez Sársfield Res.Sarmiento Res.
Recent form65%35%
Attack63%37%
Defence56%44%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall84%16%

Trends

Trend · Reserve League

Vélez Sársfield Res. scored 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Reserve League

Vélez Sársfield Res. conceded 0.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Reserve League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Reserve League

Kept a clean sheet in 7 of those 10.

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Sarmiento Res.: prediction & preview

Argentina · Reserve League · Wed, 6 May 2026

Vélez Sársfield Res. meet Sarmiento Res. in the Argentina, Reserve League on 6 May 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vélez Sársfield Res. at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Sarmiento Res. FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 6 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Vélez Sársfield Res. is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.