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Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaMon, 4 May 2026

Velez Sarsfield

WDLWW

Mon, 4 May 202623:15

1 : 2

Live

Newells Old Boys

WDLWD

Pre-match win probability

55.7%Velez Sarsfield27.1%Draw17.2%Newells Old Boys

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Velez Sarsfield 55.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Newells Old Boys 17.2%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
Goals scored (avg)
1.60.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
10.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Velez Sarsfield4W 5D 1L in last 10
  • 26 OctCentral Cordoba de Santiago0 – 5Velez SarsfieldW
  • 18 OctVelez Sarsfield1 – 0Gimnasia M.W
  • 12 OctLanus2 – 0Velez SarsfieldL
  • 5 OctVelez Sarsfield2 – 2PlatenseD
  • 21 SeptVelez Sarsfield3 – 2TigreW
Newells Old Boys4W 5D 1L in last 10
  • 24 OctSan Lorenzo0 – 0Newells Old BoysD
  • 19 OctNewells Old Boys2 – 1Central Cordoba de SantiagoW
  • 12 OctGimnasia M.1 – 0Newells Old BoysL
  • 3 OctNewells Old Boys0 – 0LanusD
  • 20 SeptPlatense0 – 1Newells Old BoysW
H2H
Head to headVelez Sarsfield 5W · 1D · Newells Old Boys 2W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 11 SeptNewells Old Boys1 – 1Velez Sarsfield
  • 22 MayVelez Sarsfield1 – 0Newells Old Boys
  • 4 FebNewells Old Boys1 – 0Velez Sarsfield
  • 3 SeptVelez Sarsfield0 – 1Newells Old Boys
  • 9 OctNewells Old Boys1 – 2Velez Sarsfield
  • 13 FebVelez Sarsfield1 – 0Newells Old Boys

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Velez Sarsfield1.7
Draw3.5
Newells Old Boys5.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.1

Velez Sarsfield

Chance55.7%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Newells Old Boys

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.1

Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
Recent form50%50%
Attack64%36%
Defence44%56%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head69%31%
Overall76%24%

Trends

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Liga Profesional Argentina

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon, 4 May 2026

Velez Sarsfield meet Newells Old Boys in the Argentina, Liga Profesional Argentina on 4 May 2026 at 23:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Velez Sarsfield at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys FAQs

4 questions

What time is Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Kickoff is 23:15 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys?

Velez Sarsfield is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.