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Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 12 Apr 2026

Venados FC

Sun, 12 Apr 202602:00

2 : 1

Full time

Leones Negros UDG

Pre-match win probability

55.3%Venados FC22.9%Draw21.7%Leones Negros UDG

Our prediction

Venados FC

Venados FC is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Venados FC 55.3%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Leones Negros UDG 21.7%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Venados FCLeones Negros UDG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals58.1% · 1.6241.9% · 2.25

Double chance

1X62.1%
X237.9%

Match result

Venados FC1.7
Draw4.1
Leones Negros UDG4.33

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance37.9%
Odds2

Venados FC

Chance55.3%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

Leones Negros UDG

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Venados FC at 1.7

Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Venados FC meet Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 12 April 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Venados FC at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Venados FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, H2H and stats