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Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXSun, 11 Oct 2026

Venados FC

Sun, 11 Oct 202600:00

1 : 1

Full time

Leones Negros UDG

Pre-match win probability

48.3%Venados FC24.8%Draw26.9%Leones Negros UDG

Our prediction

Venados FC

Venados FC is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Venados FC 48.3%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Leones Negros UDG 26.9%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

Venados FCLeones Negros UDG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals62.5% · 1.537.5% · 2.5

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Venados FC1.95
Draw3.8
Leones Negros UDG3.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Venados FC

Chance48.3%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

Leones Negros UDG

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Venados FC at 1.95

Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Venados FC meet Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Venados FC at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG?

Venados FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Venados FC vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, H2H and stats