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VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · DFB PokalTue, 27 Oct 2026

VfL Bochum

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Tue, 27 Oct 202618:00

2 : 0

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

22.3%VfL Bochum24.1%Draw53.6%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • VfL Bochum 22.3%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • FSV Mainz 05 53.6%

Season statistics

DFB Pokal · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Goals scored (avg)
1.23.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

VfL Bochum3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 23 OctVfL Bochum1 – 1VfL WolfsburgD
  • 17 Oct1. FC Kaiserslautern2 – 0VfL BochumL
  • 11 OctVfL Bochum0 – 1Arminia BielefeldL
  • 2 OctVfL Bochum4 – 1VfL OsnabrückW
  • 20 SeptHannover 962 – 1VfL BochumL
FSV Mainz 055W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctFSV Mainz 052 – 3Werder BremenL
  • 17 OctFC Schalke 040 – 1FSV Mainz 05W
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
H2H
Head to headVfL Bochum 2W · 1D · FSV Mainz 05 6W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 10 MayVfL Bochum1 – 4FSV Mainz 05
  • 11 JanFSV Mainz 052 – 0VfL Bochum
  • 16 MarFSV Mainz 052 – 0Vfl Bochum
  • 27 OctVfl Bochum2 – 2FSV Mainz 05
  • 28 JanFSV Mainz 055 – 2Vfl Bochum
  • 6 AugVfl Bochum1 – 2FSV Mainz 05

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.6% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X33.7%
X266.3%

Match result

VfL Bochum4.2
Draw3.9
FSV Mainz 051.75

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

VfL Bochum

Chance22.3%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

FSV Mainz 05

Chance53.6%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: FSV Mainz 05 at 1.75

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Recent form41%59%
Attack28%72%
Defence53%47%
Goals model28%72%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall29%71%

Trends

Trend · DFB Pokal

VfL Bochum scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

VfL Bochum conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · DFB Pokal

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

Germany · DFB Pokal · Tue, 27 Oct 2026

VfL Bochum meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, DFB Pokal on 27 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 27 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.