Villarreal vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Villarreal

LWWLL

Tue, 20 Jan 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Ajax

DLWDW

Pre-match win probability

71%Villarreal17.2%Draw11.8%Ajax

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Villarreal

Villarreal vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence71%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Villarreal 71%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Ajax 11.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

VillarrealAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.7% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X75.1%
X224.9%

Match result

Villarreal1.33
Draw5.5
Ajax8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance75.1%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance24.9%
Odds3.25

Villarreal

Chance71%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance17.2%
Odds5.5

Ajax

Chance11.8%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 3.25

VillarrealAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Villarreal vs Ajax: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 20 Jan 2026

Villarreal meet Ajax in the World, UEFA Champions League on 20 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Villarreal vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is Villarreal vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 20 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Villarreal vs Ajax?

Villarreal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 71%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Villarreal vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats