Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 10 Jan 2026

Villarreal

WLLDL

Sat, 10 Jan 202616:15

3 : 1

Full time

Alaves

DLWLW

Pre-match win probability

65.4%Villarreal21.1%Draw13.5%Alaves

Our prediction

Home · Villarreal

Villarreal vs Alaves listed tip from the board.

Odds1.45
Confidence65.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Villarreal 65.4%
  • Draw 21.1%
  • Alaves 13.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

VillarrealAlaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X70.4%
X229.6%

Match result

Villarreal1.45
Draw4.5
Alaves7

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance70.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds2.62

Villarreal

Chance65.4%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

Alaves

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.45

VillarrealAlaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Villarreal vs Alaves: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 10 Jan 2026

Villarreal meet Alaves in the Spain, La Liga on 10 January 2026 at 16:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Villarreal vs Alaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Villarreal vs Alaves?

Kickoff is 16:15 on 10 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Villarreal vs Alaves?

Villarreal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Villarreal vs Alaves prediction, H2H and stats