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Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 24 May 2026

Villarreal

LLDWW

Sun, 24 May 202620:00

5 : 1

Full time

Atletico Madrid

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

37.5%Villarreal25.8%Draw36.7%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Draw · Villarreal

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.7
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Villarreal 37.5%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Atletico Madrid 36.7%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

VillarrealAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes68.8%
No31.2%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Villarreal2.55
Draw3.7
Atletico Madrid2.6

Both teams to score

Yes68.8% · 1.36
No31.2% · 3

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Villarreal

Chance37.5%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

Atletico Madrid

Chance36.7%
Odds2.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.7

VillarrealAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 24 May 2026

Villarreal meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 24 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid?

Villarreal is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.36. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.