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Vitória SC vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026

Vitória SC

LLWDW

Sun, 23 Aug 202615:30

1 : 0

Full time

Nacional

WDLDD

Pre-match win probability

55.2%Vitória SC26.1%Draw18.8%Nacional

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Nacional listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence55.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitória SC 55.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Nacional 18.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Vitória SCNacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64.2%
X235.8%

Match result

Vitória SC1.7
Draw3.6
Nacional5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64.2%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance35.8%
Odds2.1

Vitória SC

Chance55.2%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.6

Nacional

Chance18.8%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.1

Vitória SCNacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Vitória SC vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

Vitória SC meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 23 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitória SC at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitória SC vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vitória SC vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vitória SC vs Nacional?

Vitória SC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Vitória SC vs Nacional prediction, H2H and stats