Vitoria vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 14 Mar 2026

Vitoria

DLDDW

Sat, 14 Mar 202622:30

2 : 0

Full time

Atletico-MG

WLDLD

Pre-match win probability

37.9%Vitoria29.2%Draw32.9%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

1X · Vitoria

Vitoria vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence37.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitoria 37.9%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Atletico-MG 32.9%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

VitoriaAtletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Vitoria2.5
Draw3.25
Atletico-MG2.88

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Vitoria

Chance37.9%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.25

Atletico-MG

Chance32.9%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.4

VitoriaAtletico-MG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Vitoria vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Vitoria meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Serie A on 14 March 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitoria at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitoria vs Atletico-MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Vitoria vs Atletico-MG?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Vitoria vs Atletico-MG?

Vitoria is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Vitoria vs Atletico-MG prediction, H2H and stats