Get Premium

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 11 Apr 2026

Vitoria

WDLWL

Sat, 11 Apr 202620:30

2 : 0

Full time

Sao Paulo

LLWWD

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Vitoria30.7%Draw39.6%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Draw · Vitoria

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence39.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitoria 29.7%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Sao Paulo 39.6%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

VitoriaSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
–0.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitoria0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Sao Paulo4W 2D 4L in last 10
    • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
    • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
    • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
    • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
    • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
    H2H
    Head to headVitoria 1W · 0D · Sao Paulo 8W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1Vitoria
    • 7 DecVitoria1 – 0Sao Paulo
    • 9 AugSao Paulo2 – 0Vitoria
    • 25 AugSao Paulo2 – 1Vitoria
    • 5 MayVitoria1 – 3Sao Paulo
    • 26 OctVitoria0 – 1Sao Paulo

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
    1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
    2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.4% · 1.53
    3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.7%
    No53.3%

    Double chance

    1X47.1%
    X252.9%

    Match result

    Vitoria3.2
    Draw3.1
    Sao Paulo2.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.7% · 2
    No53.3% · 1.75

    1X

    Chance47.1%
    Odds1.53

    X2

    Chance52.9%
    Odds1.36

    Vitoria

    Chance29.7%
    Odds3.2

    Draw

    Chance30.7%
    Odds3.1

    Sao Paulo

    Chance39.6%
    Odds2.4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.1

    VitoriaSao Paulo
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack53%47%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model53%47%
    Head-to-head11%89%
    Overall43%57%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Sao Paulo scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Sao Paulo conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Vitoria vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

    Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

    Vitoria meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 April 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?

    Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.