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Wales vs Norway Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueThu, 1 Oct 2026

Wales

LLLDD

Thu, 1 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Norway

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

14.6%Wales20%Draw65.4%Norway

Our prediction

1-2 · Wales

Wales vs Norway listed tip from the board.

Odds1.45
Confidence65.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wales 14.6%
  • Draw 20%
  • Norway 65.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

WalesNorway

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X29.8%
X270.2%

Match result

Wales6.5
Draw4.75
Norway1.45

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

X2

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

Wales

Chance14.6%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance20%
Odds4.75

Norway

Chance65.4%
Odds1.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1-2 at 1.45

WalesNorway
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall18%82%

Wales vs Norway: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Wales meet Norway in the World, UEFA Nations League on 1 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Norway at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wales vs Norway FAQs

4 questions

What time is Wales vs Norway?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Wales vs Norway?

Norway is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Wales vs Norway prediction, H2H and stats