Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wanderers

DWDDW

Sat, 11 Jul 202622:00

2 : 0

Full time

Progreso

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

45.9%Wanderers27.8%Draw26.2%Progreso

Our prediction

Home · Wanderers

Wanderers vs Progreso listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence45.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wanderers 45.9%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Progreso 26.2%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

WanderersProgreso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Wanderers2
Draw3.3
Progreso3.5

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Wanderers

Chance45.9%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.3

Progreso

Chance26.2%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2

WanderersProgreso
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Wanderers vs Progreso: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 11 Jul 2026

Wanderers meet Progreso in the Uruguay, Primera División on 11 July 2026 at 22:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Wanderers at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wanderers vs Progreso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Wanderers vs Progreso?

Kickoff is 22:00 on 11 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Wanderers vs Progreso?

Wanderers is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Wanderers vs Progreso prediction, H2H and stats