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Watford vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 21 Feb 2026

Watford

Sat, 21 Feb 202616:00

2 : 0

Full time

Derby

Pre-match win probability

44.7%Watford28.5%Draw26.8%Derby

Our prediction

Watford

Watford is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Watford 44.7%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Derby 26.8%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

WatfordDerby

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Watford0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headWatford 5W · 1D · Derby 3W · 3.6 goals a game
      • 22 NovDerby2 – 3Watford
      • 18 JanDerby0 – 2Watford
      • 24 AugWatford2 – 1Derby
      • 19 FebWatford2 – 1Derby
      • 16 OctDerby0 – 1Watford
      • 3 AprDerby2 – 2Watford

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
      2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
      3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes50%
      No50%

      Double chance

      1X56.2%
      X243.8%

      Match result

      Watford2.1
      Draw3.3
      Derby3.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes50% · 1.83
      No50% · 1.83

      1X

      Chance56.2%
      Odds1.3

      X2

      Chance43.8%
      Odds1.67

      Watford

      Chance44.7%
      Odds2.1

      Draw

      Chance28.5%
      Odds3.3

      Derby

      Chance26.8%
      Odds3.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Watford at 2.1

      WatfordDerby
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head61%39%
      Overall63%37%

      Watford vs Derby: prediction & preview

      England · Championship · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

      Watford meet Derby in the England, Championship on 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Watford at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Watford vs Derby FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Watford vs Derby?

      Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Watford vs Derby?

      Watford is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.