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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026

Wellington Phoenix

Sun, 18 Oct 202603:00

2 : 1

Full time

Melbourne Victory

Pre-match win probability

27.9%Wellington Phoenix27.9%Draw44.2%Melbourne Victory

Our prediction

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wellington Phoenix 27.9%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Melbourne Victory 44.2%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.3% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Wellington Phoenix3.4
Draw3.4
Melbourne Victory2.15

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Wellington Phoenix

Chance27.9%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.4

Melbourne Victory

Chance44.2%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Melbourne Victory at 2.15

Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall39%61%

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Wellington Phoenix meet Melbourne Victory in the Australia, A-League on 18 October 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne Victory at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 54.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FAQs

4 questions

What time is Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Melbourne Victory is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction, H2H and stats